Radar · topic observations

A clearer view of what people are searching for

Browse attention signals across creative and consumer categories. Open a topic for its observed history, source and limits before using it in a decision.

18 topics in the current snapshotSource: Google TrendsComputed: 2026-11-04 UTC

Worldwide observations are not US market data. Country coverage is stated on each topic. Search interest measures attention, not demand volume or sales.

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Jewelry

Minimalist jewelry

6.8 index

Oct 2026 · Worldwide

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Forecasts are withheld pending review

This desk shows observations only. Data comparability and the evaluation protocol need further verification before forecasts, peak probabilities or accuracy claims can be published. An earlier validation label does not establish that these checks have passed.

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Historical evaluation record

Previously recorded metrics remain visible, including weak results. These endpoint summaries have not passed the current data and evaluation audit. They are not a verified forecast-performance claim. Retrospective registration, overlapping forecast horizons and missing baseline comparisons limit interpretation.

Record as of 2026-11-04 UTC

n = resolved points; MAE is in each series’ units; P10–P90 nominal coverage is 80%; bias = outcome − P50. Metrics across different units are not directly comparable. Baseline skill and uncertainty are not supplied by this table.
Model	Step	Registration	n	MAE	Coverage	Bias
Trajectory — search interest	1	Registered after the fact	17	6.839	58.8%	-3.835
Trajectory — search interest	2	Registered after the fact	7	10.217	42.9%	-10.217
Trajectory — search interest	3	Registered after the fact	1	5.294	100%	-5.294

Historical turning-point calibration

Endpoint-reported leave-one-series-out estimate · 216 origins · 18 series · base rate 21.8% · Brier 0.141 vs base-rate Brier 0.17 · skill 0.171. Split independence and calibration are under review.

Probability bin	n	Mean prediction	Observed
0.0–0.2	132	11.1%	13.6%
0.2–0.4	53	26.4%	18.9%
0.4–0.6	18	49.8%	44.4%
0.6–0.8	9	70.8%	77.8%
0.8–1.0	4	84.6%	100%